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Asian Development Outlook 2018 Supplement: The Outlook Remains St...

《2018年亚洲发展展望附录:前景保持稳定》

【作       者】:

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【机       构】: 亚洲开发银行
【承研机构】:

【英文机构】: Asian Development Bank
【原文地址】: https://www.adb.org/publications/ado-supplement-july-2018
【发表时间】:

2018-07-19

摘要

Asian Development Outlook 2018 Supplement: The Outlook Remains Stable Developing Asia is seen to maintain growth projections at 6.0% for 2018 and 5.9% for 2019. However rise in protectionist trade measures from other countries poses a clear downside risk to the region’s outlook. Developing Asia is largely on track to meet growth expectations as set out in April in Asian Development Outlook 2018 (ADO 2018). The regional gross domestic product (GDP) is forecast to expand by 6.0% in 2018 and 5.9% in 2019, the rate envisaged in April, with subregional forecasts upgraded for Central Asia. Regional growth forecasts are maintained at 6.5% for 2018 and 6.4% for 2019 when excluding the newly industrialized economies of Hong Kong, China; the Republic of Korea; Singapore; and Taipei,China. The combined growth forecast for the major industrial economies—the United States (US), the euro area, and Japan—is retained from ADO 2018 as growth in the US and the euro area remains robust. In Japan, though, unanticipated contraction in the first quarter (Q1) prompts a slight revision of the 2018 growth. Highlights

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